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Commodities / Live cattle

Live cattle: Contract, Supply and Price Drawdown

CME live cattle. The contract it trades on, who produces it, the figures its price is set against, how to get exposure, and how far its price fell from its highs in five years.

Verified figures, not advice. Contract terms, production, stocks and fund costs come from the exchange, government agencies and fund issuers named beside each figure, read on 14 Oct 2026. A figure we could not verify is shown as "not verified"; a figure we worked out ourselves is marked "computed". We do not say where a price is going or whether to buy. Commodity funds and futures can lose more than you expect. Found a mistake? Tell us and we correct it.

Step 1. The contract

TermValue
Exchange
CME Group (Chicago Mercantile Exchange)
Contract
Live Cattle Futures
Ticker
not verified
Size
40,000 pounds of live steers or heifers (70% Choice / 30% Select grade mix, Yield Grade 3, per CME rule text in a 2020 filing)
Smallest price move
0.00025 dollar per pound (multiples of $.00025) per CME rule text; this equals $10.00 per contract by our arithmetic (40,000 x 0.00025)
Delivery months
February, April, June, August, October, December (from a 2017 CME notice; physical delivery; not re-checked against the current spec page)
Benchmark grade
Live steers or heifers, USDA Yield Grade 3, 70% Choice / 30% Select; steers 1,050-1,550 lb in delivery rules (per CME 2013 advisory)

Source: cftc.gov. Read on 2026-10-14.

Step 2. Who produces it

ProducerShare of world outputYear or season
Brazil
20.2%
2025 beef and veal production (USDA FAS Oct 2026: 12,605 of 62,315 thousand tonnes cwe; share calculated)
United States
19.0%
2025 (USDA FAS: 11,839 of 62,315; share calculated)
China
12.9%
2025 (USDA FAS: 8,010 of 62,315; share calculated)

Source: apps.fas.usda.gov.

Step 3. The figures the price is set against

Price alone does not say whether a commodity is dear or cheap. Stocks, balances and costs show how tight or loose the market is. We list them as published, with the date.

What it measuresFigureAs ofSource
US all cattle and calves inventory
94.2 million head (up about 0.2% from 94.0m in 2025)
1 July 2026, USDA NASS Cattle report released 24 July 2026
esmis.nal.usda.gov
US beef cows
28.45 million head (down 1% year on year)
1 July 2026, USDA NASS
esmis.nal.usda.gov

Step 4. What moves the price

  • New World screwworm: the US-Mexico border has been closed to cattle imports since May 2025 (about 1.2m Mexican cattle a year were imported in 2020-24); September 2026 imports were down 97% on a year earlier. (apps.fas.usda.gov)
  • Herd size and rebuilding: US beef cows fell 1% to 28.45m by 1 July 2026 while the total herd was about flat at 94.2m; USDA sees early signs of heifer retention, which cuts near-term slaughter supply. (esmis.nal.usda.gov)
  • Global beef supply: USDA forecasts US, Brazilian and Chinese beef output all falling in 2026 and 2027 (world total from 62.3m tonnes in 2025 to about 60.0m in 2027). (apps.fas.usda.gov)

Step 5. How far the price has fallen from its own highs

We show no chart for Live cattle. We could not find a second, independent price series to check our first one against, and we only publish a chart when two sources agree.

Step 6. How to get exposure

ProductStructureAnnual costSource
WisdomTree Livestock
AIGL (LSE, Borsa Italiana), WisdomTree Commodity Securities Limited (Jersey)
Exchange-traded commodity (ETC), debt security, synthetic fully funded collateralised swap, tracks Bloomberg Commodity Livestock Subindex 4W Total Return (BCOMLI4T): live cattle 72.23% and lean hogs 27.77% (index composition 8 Oct 2026); not live-cattle only
0.49%
wisdomtree.com

Futures roll. Futures-based funds must keep selling expiring contracts and buying later ones; when later contracts cost more (contango) each roll can erode the fund's return even if the spot price is flat, and in backwardation rolling can add to it (paraphrased from a sugar fund prospectus; same mechanism applies to every futures-based product). (teucrium.com)

Live cattle is physically delivered and driven by a single country's herd cycle and animal-disease events (such as screwworm), so supply shocks can be abrupt and exposure funds hold a mix that is not cattle-only.

What we could not verify

  • CME contract ticker (LE is widely used but not seen on a CME page we could open) and dollar tick value: CME's own spec page returned no content; specs taken from CME rule text in a CFTC filing (Aug 2020) and CME notice SER-7937R (2017). Months list is from the 2017 notice.
  • Current CME contract spec page itself was not readable; re-check before publishing.
  • Beef production table in USDA PDF had no Est./Forecast labels; 2025 used as latest completed year. This is beef and veal output (cwe), not cattle numbers; share base is the 'Total' row.
  • US-listed cattle ETF: iPath COW redeemed 25 June 2025 (Barclays press release via BusinessWire); no other live-cattle-only fund verified. AIGL is mixed cattle/hogs.
  • USDA Cattle report: January 2026 inventory not opened; July figures used.
  • ICE/CME-related warehouse stocks do not apply to live cattle.

A price move says what buyers paid, not what the commodity is worth. For what we mean by value, see What is value?

Sources

Figures read on 14 Oct 2026 from the pages below. Price history is our own calculation from two public sources.

All sources for this page (5)

Questions people ask

What moves the price of Live cattle?

New World screwworm: the US-Mexico border has been closed to cattle imports since May 2025 (about 1.2m Mexican cattle a year were imported in 2020-24); September 2026 imports were down 97% on a year earlier.

How can I get exposure to Live cattle?

Through futures on CME Group (Chicago Mercantile Exchange), or through funds and exchange-traded products. Step 6 lists the ones we verified, with structure and cost. Funds that hold futures can differ from the spot price.

Why can a fund differ from the price I see?

A fund that holds futures must sell contracts about to expire and buy later ones. When the later ones cost more (contango) each roll can cost money; when they cost less it can add. So its return is not the spot price.